Seatfrog board · Wednesday 23 September 2026

Marketing update

Sheran Gale, Head of Growth Marketing

Where we started, and what changed

March 2026, when I joined, limited CRM maturity in people, process and technology meant untargeted communications

Today, predictive communications move customers through the funnel, on a capability we built in-house

December, the full lifecycle engine is live and personalised; from Q1 2027 our AI decides each message in real time

March 2026when I joined
We are here todayTodaySeptember 2026
End of Q4 2026December
Q1 2027
Customer experience
The message
Channels
People and process
Data and models
FragmentedLaying the foundation
“You don’t know me”
One size fits all: one message to everyone
Email and push, batch sent to everyone
Teams operate in silos; no specialist skill set
No models, no segments, and nothing measured
EfficientBuilding capability+£115k net a year, modelled; ships Q4
“You know my stage, and what I just did”
Right message, right group
Email and push campaigns, sent across different platforms
Specialist skills hired; a cross-functional team, processes starting to form
Life-stage segments, personas and recency-frequency-value scoring; a 5% global holdout reads all marketing over time
EffectiveEvery journey live, personalised from data+£164k net a year, modelled; every journey live
“You knew before I did”
Right message, right customer, at the right moment
All CRM comms triggered through Braze
Established process and turnaround times; end-to-end delivery run with AI agents
Churn-risk score live, propensity-to-return score Q4; every journey read against a 20% control group, the holdout
AgenticFrom manual to fully automated, deciding in real timeNot yet sized
“My personal travel agent”
Right experience: one conversation across every touchpoint
AI orchestration across every channel
End-to-end automation of the process and the ways of working
Real-time data and machine learning; the AI 1-to-1 decisioning engine, built in-house (needed)
THE FOUNDATIONSAll six foundations of customer value management are in place, and the content layer is run by agentsThe standard customer value management framework, and what we have built against each layer.CUSTOMER VALUE MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORKActionable customer insightCustomer contact strategyCross-channel journey managementEmailLivePushLiveIn-app cardsQ4TrackingReporting and attributionOFFER AND CONTENTTARGETINGBUILT AGENTICALLYLive, 7 SeptemberWhich offer eachcustomer gets waits onthe return score, Q4.1Actionable customer insightBUILTEvery send audited, the funnel read from the warehouse,and what customers tell us, mapped as 60 moments.2Customer contact strategyBUILT. SECOND MODEL IN Q4Life-stage segments and personas, with a churn-risk modelscoring every active customer nightly.3Cross-channel journey managementTWO LIVE, SIX BY DECEMBERTen journeys in four programmes, opened by what thecustomer does, not by a calendar.4Offer and content targetingLIVE, 7 SEPTEMBERA journey brief goes in, a finished email comes out, and aperson approves every step.5TrackingBUILTEvery send joined to what that customer did next, in thewarehouse.6Reporting and attributionFIRST READS IN NOVEMBER20% of every journey held back, so we report the lift wecaused, not the sales that followed.

How the journeys were built

60 moments where we can win or keep a customer, mapped here rather than bought from an agency

The Booking.com version below was built by an agency.

The moment map, all 13 stages of the customer's life
Ours · 60 moments across the customer’s life, built in-house in a quarter from the live record.
Booking.com experience map, VML
The agency version · the same map, built for Booking.com by VML.

One journey in depth · churn prevention, live from 22 September

One in four active buyers goes quiet every month, 40,276 in August, and the slip went unnoticed for 49 days

Nothing at allDays 1 to 49

For the first 49 days of a slip nothing watches the customer and nothing is sent.

The slip is invisible to us while it is still cheap to fix

The same push to everyoneDay 50, on a calendar

09:41
Seatfrog nowGot a trip coming up soon?

A calendar timer, not a signal: it fires whether they slipped or not

The same email to everyoneDay 50, the same day

Today’s day-50 email, the same to everyone

The same to everyone, and the weekly seasonal email lands the same week

Catching that slip is sized at about £156k net a year at benchmark rates; the first measured read comes in November.

One journey in depth · churn prevention, live from 22 September

Quiet is 11 days for a commuter and 14 weeks for a leisure traveller; the model knows which

His rhythm

Mon 4thTue 12thMon 18thThu 28thTue 3rdMon 9th

Ben upgrades London Euston to Leeds most weeks

Then the trips stop

his threshold

Day 11, past 1.5x his own median gap

The model fires

Churn-risk score crossesovernight, every active customer

The journey opens the next morning

Day 1 · the save email
Seatfrog <hello@seatfrog.com>
Found you a better seat
Found you a better seat
routeLondon Euston to Leeds the from-price£24

Hey Ben! I’ve been keeping a lookout on your line. Check this out… London Euston to Leeds from £24. Yes, that’s for First Class. And you only pay if you win.

Place a bid
Not openedfive to seven days
The second knock · on push, because we hold both
17:41Tuesday
SEATFROG now Found a better seat, thought of you First Class, £24, London Euston to Leeds. Room to spread out and watch the fields go by.

He buysthe journey ends instantly

He stays quietsilence to day 60, then win-back

The hero is a three-second motion loop generated with Runway; the route and the price are his own. 20% of the journey is held back, and the first measured read comes in November.

What ships next · turning losing bidders into returning bidders, November

14,800 customers a month bid for an upgrade and lose; 81% never bid again*

The pushesIn the auction

17:41
Seatfrog nowYou’ve been outbid.
Seatfrog nowJust a few minutes left to bid.
Seatfrog nowBidding has ended.

Three fixed pushes, built into the app before Braze, the same words whatever they bid

The lost screenAt the close

The app today after a lost auction

One closed screen, the same for everyone: a buy-now price, and no reason to bid again

The recovery email30 minutes after

Today’s first-auction-loser email

One message, whoever lost and however they lost

The campaignOn a schedule

Today’s Outbidophobia campaign email

Sent to everyone on a calendar, unrelated to the loss

Losing reads as a dead end: 81% of customers do not bid again after one loss*, and the one recovery email reached about 20 of the 14,800 who lose an auction each month, because its entry rule let almost nobody in.

Losing bidders into returning bidders, from November · a straight account of the close and one reason to bid again, from their own history

What ships when

Eight of the ten journeys are live by December; £43k of the £64k they drive lands inside the quarter

Live Ships Waits on a model or a date

Upgrades only; incremental over a 20% holdout; nothing measured yet.

October
November
December
Q1 2027
ActivateDrive the First Win: turn intent into a first transaction
Turn losing bidders into returning bidders
Prompt the first purchase
Recover the abandoned upgrade
GrowBuild the Habit Loop: turn one win into a habit
Turn the first win into a second
Deliver the First Class experience, and referrals: sizing with Analytics
DefendReactivation: catch the first slip while a save is cheap
Churn prevention: catch the first slip
RecoverReactivation: win back the lapsed
Seasonal reactivation: the never-bought wave, sent
Seasonal reactivation: the buyers’ wave
Win back lapsed customers: offers wait on the propensity-to-return score
AcquireScale Efficient Acquisition: capture the demand that exists, then create it
Search and AI visibility on the current site, 31 October
App store page
Boosted organic social: £2,500 a month
Rebuilt website, phase 1, 19 December
Partner launch go-to-market, Trip.com first
What the engine needsBuild the Lifecycle Engine: who builds each piece, and what it makes possible
Churn-risk score: live, scores nightly (Analytics)
Propensity-to-return score: sizes the win-back offers (Analytics, Q4)
Live data feed, warehouse to Braze: real-time triggers
AI 1-to-1 decisioning engine, built in-house
Net revenue driven: £64k in Q4, £43k landing inside itby month of launch, modelled
£13.7k
£20.3k
£29.7k
the rest lands in 2027

The marketing funnel

We paid for none of our sign-ups, and nothing of ours reaches the people deciding whether to try us

AwarenessUPPER FUNNELConsiderationMID FUNNEL · THE GAPTHE GAPConversionLOWER FUNNELLoyalty loopTHE CUSTOMERS WE HAVE
The plan
Awareness
Not in the plan
Consideration
From November, about £2,500 a month behind the posts that already travel; then creators paid per referral
Conversion
Search and AI visibility in October, the app store page in November, the rebuilt website on 19 December
Loyalty loop
The full lifecycle engine live by the end of December, every journey behind a 20% holdout

What customers already post about us, unpaid

@holidayexpert on Instagram
752,000 playsMay 2024 · @holidayexpert on InstagramA creator with 660,000 followers on our Secret Fares with TransPennine Express: “I’ve found another secret train hack”
204,300 playsMay 2025 · a customer on TikTokA customer’s first-class upgrade, filmed for her followers, with her own Seatfrog referral code in the caption, unprompted
63,500 playsOctober 2023 · a customer on TikTok“The only way I want to travel from now on. It made my trip so much better”

Appendix

Appendix: from today to the north star
← → to move, N for notes, F for full screen
Draft 43, 22 September 2026, for review
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